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* The probability that your endeavor will lead somewhere, even if you are able to work productively on it.
Rather than dropping out of the system, start trying to take out small amounts of time to work in the direction of your unusual trajectory. This may involve some neglect of your official mainstream trajectory, but a modest amount of neglect is fine, as long as you make sure you neet meet some minimum standards, sufficient to bounce back if necessary.
Once you have demonstrated success with the unusual trajectory, consider quitting the mainstream trajectory.